General Information
We are delighted to announce the call for submissions for the upcoming Conference on Probabilistic Reasoning in the Sciences, to be held at the Marche Polytechnic University (Ancona, Italy) from August 29th to 31st, 2024.
The conference aims to explore and discuss various aspects of probabilistic reasoning within scientific inquiry and will serve as the kick-off event for the “Controlling and Utilizing Uncertainty in the Health Sciences” project, funded by the Italian Ministry of Research (Principal Investigators: Alexander Gebharter and Lorenzo Rossi), as well as the new Center for Philosophy, Science, and Policy (CPSP) at the Marche Polytechnic University.
Keynote speakers who have already confirmed their participation:
- Leah Henderson, University of Groningen (canceled)
- Saana Jukola, University of Twente
- David Papineau, King’s College London
- Jan-Willem Romeijn, University of Groningen
- Elliott Sober, University of Wisconsin
- Jan Sprenger, University of Turin
- Katya Tentori, University of Trento
Organizers: Michał Sikorski, Alexander Gebharter, & Barbara Osimani
Please submit an abstract of no more than 500 words, formatted for a blind review, via the following Google form:
Abstracts are due May 31th, 2024.
After the conference, we will invite authors to submit their work to a topical collection covering the conference’s themes in one of the respected philosophical journals. We will be aiming for Synthese.
Program
29 August
| Time | Room1 | Room 2 |
| 11.00 | Keynote lecture by David Papineau | |
| 12.30 | Lunch | |
| 14.00 | Section A | Section B |
| Bayesian epistemology and value-free science, Rivkah Hatchwell | A logical framework for data-driven inference, Paolo Baldi, Esther Anna Corsi, Hynkel Hosini | |
| Disagreement over Scarce Evidence, Giacomo Molinari | From Frege to Frontloading: The New Age of Enumerative Induction, Fabian Pregel | |
| Probabilistic interpretations of illocutionary acts in scientific reasoning, Daniele Chiffi | Analogical reasoning, Abduction and Norton’s Material Theory of Induction, Yeongseo Yeo | |
| 15.30 | Coffee Break | |
| 16.00 | Keynote lecture by Saana Jukola |
30 August
| 9.30 | Keynote lecture by Katya Tentori | |
| 11.00 | Coffee break | |
| 11.30 | Section A | Section B |
| Deliberation and Consensus, Dominik Klein | Probabilistic Synergetic Information and Goal-Directed Development, Tiago Rama | |
| Historiographic Probabilistic Reasoning, Aviezer Tucker | Avoiding the Risk of Judgement Manipulation by Pooling Odds with Two Weighted Geometric Means, Pavel Janda | |
| 12:30 | Lunch | |
| 14:00 | Section A | Section B |
| Beta Distributions: an application to well-being measurement, Mariateresa Ciommi | On the effectiveness of Rapid Antigen Test kits in measuring the spread of SARS-CoV-2, Aldo Dragoni | |
| 15.00 | Short Coffee Break | |
| 15.15 | Keynote lecture by Elliott Sober |
After Conference Activity
The Conero Riviera is a sinuously shaped promontory, sculpted by the winds that blow from Monte Conero towards the Adriatic Sea. Discover this stretch of the Marche coastline from the perspective of the sea with a motorboat tour.
From Ancona you will sail offshore, spotting the most beautiful caves and beaches in the area, from Ancona’s Marina Dorica tourist port to the Two Sisters Beach via Portonovo Bay. Here you can dive into the turquoise sea or snorkel in search of colourful fish and sea creatures.
What we will do:
Departure is scheduled at 10.00 am, 1st of September from the port of Marina Dorica in Ancona. Once everyone has boarded our motor vessel equipped with every comfort, the tour of the Conero Riviera will begin.
We will sail along the south coast, off the caves and beaches that characterise the most beautiful coastline of the Middle Adriatic. The Conero Park will open up before our eyes, with its pale rocks contrasting with the green vegetation.
We will see the Spiaggia della Scalaccia (Scalaccia Beach) and the Spiaggia di Mezzavalle (Mezzavalle Beach) from the sea, before meeting the Scogli delle Due Sorelle (Two Sisters’ Rocks), where we will make our first swimming stop. Here we can dive in for a refreshing swim or relax on board. Around 1pm, you will also be able to have lunch on board (buffet included), with fish starters, salads, typical local products and a small bottle of water per person.
Afterwards, we will resume sailing in the direction of Trave/Mezzavalle Bay, where we will stop for a second swim. Once back on board, we will set off on our return journey and do nothing but relax lulled by the waves.
The return to Ancona is scheduled for 17.00 hours, for a total duration of 7 hours
Scientific Committee
- Pierpaolo Battigalli
- Giovanni Boniolo
- Stefano Canali
- Gustavo Cevolani
- Alexander Christian
- Vincenzo Crupi
- Serena Doria
- Christian J. Feldbacher-Escamilla
- Branden Fitelson
- Konstantin Genin
- Federico Giri
- Stephan Hartmann
- Catherine Herfeld
- Hykel Hosni
- Simona Naspetti
- Miklos Redei
- Lorenzo Rossi
- Dunja Seselja
- Vlasta Sikimić
- Jan Sprenger
- Jacob Stegenga
- Borut Trpin
- Giovanni Valente
- Gregory Wheeler
- Jon Williamson
- James Woodward
- Raffaele Zanoli
The city
Ancona is a captivating city situated along the stunning Adriatic coast, renowned for its abundance of natural and cultural splendor, as well as its exceptional cuisine and wines. For more information, please visit: https://anconatourism.it/en/
Venue
The conference will be held in the historic Caserma Villarey building, located in the old city of Ancona. Originally serving as military headquarters, the building now houses a faculty department of the Marche Polytechnic University.
Hotels
under construction
All questions can be addressed to michalpsikorski@gmail.com .
Project funded under the National Recovery and Resilience Plan (NRRP), Mission 4, Component 2, Investment 1.1 — Call for tender No. 1409/2022 of 14/09/2022 of the Italian Ministry of University and Research funded by the European Union – NextGenerationEU. Award Number: P2022RT4AT_001, Concession Decree No. 1371 of 01/09/2023 adopted by the Italian Ministry of University and Research, CUP I53D23006890001, Controlling and Utilizing Uncertainty in the Health Sciences.